Will Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) be achieved by December 31, 2027?

The market resolves YES if a widely recognized consensus among leading AI research organizations (e.g., major labs, peer-reviewed benchmarks, and expert panels) confirms that an AI system demonstrates general intelligence comparable to or exceeding human-level performance across a broad range of domains by December 31, 2027 (inclusive), based on publicly available evidence and evaluations, and NO otherwise;